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#1
01-08-2020, 02:41 AM
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Official Divisional Playoff Round - Texans @ Chiefs Game Thread, 1/12/2020
The Texans go onto the second round (divisional) of the playoffs this Sunday in an afternoon game that begins at 2:05 pm CST. The Texans are coming off a first round win over the Buffalo Bills in OT 22-19 last Saturday. They will face the #2 seed KC Chiefs who had a bye last week and rested up.
Kansas City forecast is calling for chilly Saturday night with an 8º low but it should warm up to mid-30's around game time. The Texans and Chiefs met once during the regular season in KC with the Texans prevailing 31-24. The Chiefs were hobbled and missing quite a few pieces in that game. Not so this time as they have everyone back (and then some) and are in reasonably good health. They are on a bit of a roll having won their last 6 regular season games. For the Texans, I think they need to be in the right mindset to have a chance. Are they all patting themselves on the back for having defeated the Bills or are they anxious to get on with it and take care of the next bit of business? Gotta think the Chiefs are rarin' to go but Watt and Watson prevent me from going with a Chiefs blowout. I see it: Chiefs 27, Texans 24 The Texans are 5-5 all time vs. the Chiefs, 0-1 in the playoffs. The Texans have made it to the divisional round 3 other times and yet to win. This will be their 2nd trip to the divisionals with Bill O'Brien at the helm. A Houston team hasn't been to the conference championship game since the Luv ya Blue days..... --------------------------------------------------------------------------- TV = CBS (channel 11 local), 2:05 pm CST, Sunday, 1/12/20 Announcers = Jim Nantz, Tony Romo The line = Chiefs by 9½ to 10½ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Other weekend playoff games: Saturday (late afternoon) = Minnesota @ San Francisco, 3:35 pm CST, NBC Saturday (night) = Tennessee @ Baltimore, 7:15 pm CST, CBS Sunday (night) = Seattle @ Green Bay, 5:40 pm CST, FOX 
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#2
01-08-2020, 09:47 AM
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The victory we had earlier in the RS against the Chiefs is practically meaningless today because the Chiefs had so many injuries including to their best players MaHomes and left tackle (blind side) Fischer.
How Buffalo jumped up on us by 16 points is still a mystery to me but if we have that kind of start in KC Sunday it's all over before the first quarter ends. Hope I'm wrong but I see the Chiefs winning by two TDs. Ravens are favored over the Titans by the same margin as our game which I don't think is gonna happen. I predicted the Titans victory over the Pats and I expect them to play the Ravens tough this weekend. Inclement weather is predicted for Baltimore this weekend and if that's the case Derrick Henry will be even tougher than normal to stop. Yea I do see the Titans as the dark horse in these 2020 NFL P/Os.
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#3
01-08-2020, 10:43 AM
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Keep in mind, the Texans fell behind the Chiefs in their first meeting, 10-0 before roaring back by halftime.
The two keys to me are: 1) can the Texans sustain a running game with Hyde and Johnson? This is the major weakness of the Chiefs and if the Texans have success running the ball, that will open up the passing offense enough to stay with KC. 2) Can the Texans scheme a way to limit Kelce and Hill? If the answer is no, the Texans are dead meat. If the answer is yes, they can possibly stay with KC or pull off the upset. Andy Reid teams have suffered some historic playoff chokes over the years, even at Arrowhead, so don't presume they are going to blow the Texans out if the Texans bring their "a" game. Sure, the Chiefs are favored and rightly so. The question is which Texans will show up and whether the ghosts of playoff chokes past will visit the Chiefs.
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#4
01-08-2020, 12:53 PM
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Quote:
I don't have a clue what the Texans will do.
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#5
01-08-2020, 03:54 PM
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The Texans only have two modes:
1) Get blown out in embarrassing fashion. 2) Keep it close and win in the fourth quarter on some Watson miracle escape. The Atlanta win was the only comfortable win all year. Even in that game, they fell behind early.
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#6
01-08-2020, 04:56 PM
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Quote:
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#7
01-08-2020, 08:00 PM
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Some stats that probably don't mean much:
The Texans had 8 games this year that they went into as the underdog. They went 4-4 straight up in those games. They went 5-3 ATS in those games (the slight difference was the New Orleans game where they lost straight up 30-28, but covered the 7 pt spread). --------------------------------------- As an underdog of 3 pts. or more, they went 4-3 straight up but 5-2 ATS. --------------------------------------- So, a case can be made that they play slightly better when they enter the game as the underdog. The reciprocal of that is that they play slighty worse when they are the favorite. They are currently 8-8-1 ATS (including playoffs). --------------------------------------- Their largest spread as an underdog was 9½ pts. - the Week 17 game vs. Titans where they rested. They, of course, lost the game by 21 pts, 35-14. They are currently 10 pt dogs to the Chiefs. --------------------------------------- The Baltimore game, the pathetic Denver game and the Week 17 Tennessee game were the only games they lost by more than one score. They couldn't even get garbage time points vs. the Ravens...... --------------------------------------- Like I said, all this probably doesn't mean much and it is why I tune in every Sunday to see how it plays out. What's behind door #3 this week?
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