Wild Card Weekend Discussion [Split Thread]

[Keith]

Originally Posted by Keith

Titans (+5.5) and heads up… kinda like the Colts were for the Texans last season, the Pats match up terribly here with the Titans.

Originally Posted by Keith

The Pats will probably do well to take Brown out of the game, kinda how they do when playing the Texans to take away their best option to make you beat them with someone lesser. Winning at Foxboro is tough, but these are not your older brother's Patriots anymore. Gronk is not walking out of that tunnel. Feels weird to say, but I'll be pulling for *gulp* Vrabel and the Titans.

Choo choo!

And no, do not expect me to update this again if I am ever wrong.

[Arky]

Point spreads of KC over Houston and Baltimore over Tennessee are roughly the same at about 10 points each. The money lines are roughly +350 for both underdogs.

I think the Titans vs. Ravens matchup should be pretty good and I will be watching with great interest. The Titans may not win but I think they can give the Ravens a good game...

The Texans.....they just can't dilly-dally for a half if they expect to win. The Chiefs will have the Texan secondary running wind sprints all game.....

Chances of both the Texans and the Titans winning and making it to the AFC Championship game? Plug +350 twice into a parlay calculator and you get 19.25. So, it's a 19.25 to 1 shot that both teams win. A $10 two-team parlay bet wins $192.50. If you're a hold'em player, that's about a 2-outer. Not very likely but not impossible....

[nunusguy]

Wonder if there's any chance Fuller can make it back for the KC game ?

[HPF Bob]

Unless the Eagles pull another rabbit from their hats, the Texans will be the only home team to survive the Wild Card round.

[barrett]

Originally Posted by nunusguy

Wonder if there's any chance Fuller can make it back for the KC game ?

I'd suspect his chances of playing are the same as our chances of making it a game.

[HPF Bob]

Where else can we find somebody who can drop the deep ball like Fuller?

[Arky]

So, Minnesota gets it done in New Orleans. Color me suitably shocked. Kirk Cousins seems to be shedding some of his poor trends....

Seattle holds up in Philly. The Seahawks go to Green Bay next Sunday and will be playing after the Texans/Chiefs game. The Packers are currently favored by 4.

The Vikings will head to Santa Clara to play the Niners in the late/afternoon Saturday game. Niners currently favored by 6½ to 7. Titans @ Ravens is Saturday night.

I would not be surprised to see all four home teams win next weekend. That has happened before although I don't have the stats handy. Picking ATS is where it gets interesting - lots of points floating around out there....

[nunusguy]

I've got a question for you high rollers out there ?
I'm headed to Vegas this coming weekend so which of the casinos are known
to be the most customer friendly or are the spreads virtually the same among the various casinos ?

[barrett]

Originally Posted by HPF Bob

Where else can we find somebody who can drop the deep ball like Fuller?

You are 100% correct here.

Will Fuller can't catch. And I don't mean he can't catch by NFL standards. I mean he can't catch like a guy in a flag football game can't catch standards.

And we need to find a guy who can take the top off like that regardless of if he can catch. With him on the field everybody else feasts because defenses fear a guy who catches 1 out of 3 deep balls more than the guy who catches 2 out of 3 8 yard curls. So the second Fuller steps on the field we get better.

Fuller has played just over half the snaps (53%) so there is no small sample size either way. Watson without Fuller 89 passer rating. With Fuller 104. In Yards per play we currently rank 12th in the league at 5.7. With Fuller we jump up to top 5 and without him we drop to bottom third of the league.

He is more vital to the big play offense we rely on than any of Hopkins/Stills/Johnson/Hyde. That doesn't make him better. It just means that we he does cannot be replicated by anyone else on the roster.

[Keith]

Originally Posted by Keith

And no, do not expect me to update this again if I am ever wrong.

*crickets*

[HPF Bob]

The winning records for the home teams in the divisional round are very high because they are the #1 and #2 seeds coming off a bye week. So, on paper, these are all clearly the best two teams in their conference hosting lesser teams with the advantage of a week of rest. That's why it was such a big deal for the Patriots to finally not have this advantage every year.