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  #1  
Old 12-29-2016, 12:22 AM
barrett barrett is offline
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Originally Posted by nunusguy View Post
Yea I watched the whole game and the Jags totally outplayed the Titans and that was with Marriota in the game for 3 full quarters.
Whoever becomes the next HC is stepping into a good situation.
Latest rumor has original Jacksonsville HC and two-time Giants SB coach 70 year-old Tom Coughlin back to coach the Jags next year.
I'm not sure I'd call the Jags job a good situation. Whoever takes the job will likely be responsible for fixing Blake Bortles.
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  #2  
Old 12-29-2016, 12:22 PM
Arky Arky is offline
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I think you can probably expect the Texans to be underdogs the remainder of their post season play. Whether it's the Dolphins, Raiders or Chiefs who they face in the Wild Card round, the #4 seed Texans will probably be the underdog.

Of the Texans 6 losses, the three before the bye were decided by 27, 18 and 18 points (Pats, Vikes, Broncos respectively - all on the road).

The three game losing streak they had in Weeks 11-13 after the bye was decided by 7, 8, and 8 points (Raiders, Chargers, Packers respectively with the Charger game as their only home loss).

Of the Texans 9 wins, only the Bears game in Week 1 went over a victory margin of 7 pts. All others were won by 7 pts or less. Thus you have a first place team with the crazy point differential of -42.

Your 2016 Houston Texans = "If we beat ya, it ain't gonna be by much".
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  #3  
Old 12-29-2016, 01:53 PM
barrett barrett is offline
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Originally Posted by Arky View Post
I think you can probably expect the Texans to be underdogs the remainder of their post season play. Whether it's the Dolphins, Raiders or Chiefs who they face in the Wild Card round, the #4 seed Texans will probably be the underdog.

Of the Texans 6 losses, the three before the bye were decided by 27, 18 and 18 points (Pats, Vikes, Broncos respectively - all on the road).

The three game losing streak they had in Weeks 11-13 after the bye was decided by 7, 8, and 8 points (Raiders, Chargers, Packers respectively with the Charger game as their only home loss).

Of the Texans 9 wins, only the Bears game in Week 1 went over a victory margin of 7 pts. All others were won by 7 pts or less. Thus you have a first place team with the crazy point differential of -42.

Your 2016 Houston Texans = "If we beat ya, it ain't gonna be by much".
I doubt they'd be underdogs against Matt Moore and Miami. Betting lines are not actual predictions, but rather attempts to get even money bet on each side. Miami is even less exciting and nationally known than the Texans, so I can't see Miami and Matt Moore favored in a road playoff game. But Matt McGloin helms a well covered Raiders team, so I'd not be surprised by a Raiders by a point type of line.
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  #4  
Old 12-29-2016, 05:24 PM
Arky Arky is offline
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Originally Posted by barrett View Post
I doubt they'd be underdogs against Matt Moore and Miami.....Miami is even less exciting and nationally known than the Texans, so I can't see Miami and Matt Moore favored in a road playoff game. ....But Matt McGloin helms a well covered Raiders team, so I'd not be surprised by a Raiders by a point type of line
I think there's like a 10% chance we're going to play Miami so scratch them - I shouldn't have mentioned them. Higher probability the Texans will get KC or Oakland in which case, the spread will be very small in favor of the visitor to NRG.... that's the way I see it. Should the Texans survive the first (wildcard) round, they'll be dogs all the way till they're eliminated - @Pittsburgh, @NE, @Oakland or @KC....

Edit: provided Miami gets knocked out in their first round game.....

Quote:
Betting lines are not actual predictions, but rather attempts to get even money bet on each side.
Dang, for 40-something years, I've been doing it all wrong.....

Last edited by Arky; 12-29-2016 at 05:37 PM.
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  #5  
Old 12-30-2016, 09:37 AM
barrett barrett is offline
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Originally Posted by Arky View Post
Dang, for 40-something years, I've been doing it all wrong.....
I know you get that. I'm just pointing out that Miami is not a team that would get a bump from being popular. They are one of the few non-AFC south teams with less national excitement around them then Houston.
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  #6  
Old 12-30-2016, 01:51 PM
Arky Arky is offline
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Originally Posted by barrett View Post
I know you get that. I'm just pointing out that Miami is not a team that would get a bump from being popular. They are one of the few non-AFC south teams with less national excitement around them then Houston.
Oh yeah, that is true. It's easy to assume (at least, it is for me) that Miami has no chance and will probably be a first round KO. If they do anything (as in "winning"), it will be a shocking upset. The thing is, they're in a similar situation as the Texans in that they are on QB #2 and don't have much national respect (or your word, "popularity"). I'm sure there's many who don't give the Texans any chance, either.

Still, I'll take yammering about the playoffs this time of year over who to draft every time.... Once upon a time, a Houston team made it past the first and second round of the playoffs and as a fan, I can tell you the anticipation/excitement level doubles each step along the way.....
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  #7  
Old 01-01-2017, 11:17 PM
Arky Arky is offline
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Well, well, well. The Texans have opened as a 3 pt. favorite over the Oakland Raiders in Saturday's Wild Card playoff game. I suppose today's QB shuffles for both teams might be have something to do with the surprising line.... Can the 9-7 Texans beat the 12-4 Raiders?
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  #8  
Old 01-09-2017, 03:45 PM
barrett barrett is offline
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I'm not sure I'd call the Jags job a good situation. Whoever takes the job will likely be responsible for fixing Blake Bortles.
And they hire Marrone. Looks like they went with a guy willing to fix/keep Bortles. It definitely wasn't a sought after job if they ended up with Marrone.
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  #9  
Old 01-13-2017, 02:54 PM
Arky Arky is offline
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Pittsburgh/KC matchup moved to Sunday night. Big ice storm coming through - should be passed by night time.....
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