Statistically Speaking, Is Trading Down A Smart Move?

[dalemurphy]

Originally Posted by Nconroe

nice work statistically,

i agree and like the trade down scenario unless some cant miss superstar drops to our draft position.

Likely best to go best player at need first 3 or four rounds.

likely bpa or even high risk/reward in last few rounds,

And Texans have lots of needs especially on defense.

should be only fun we have for a while watching the draft.

Think about the M.Schaub trade... we gave up our second round pick in '07 and '08. According to the draft value chart, we could have countered with:

Schaub and 3rd round pick for Texans #8 overall in '07.... and, Atlanta would've jumped all over it!

Instead of Schaub and A. Okoye... We could have Schaub, plus 2 more 2nd round picks and a 3rd round pick. How much better would we be?

[Blitzwood]

Statistically Speaking, Is Trading Down A Smart Move?

For a team like the Texans that is rebuilding and hoping to reach the playoffs, absolutely! This team has needs in so many positions, probably all except TE, RB, and QB. And now we're switching to 3-4, we'll have even more positions to fill.

I think the only time it wouldn't be smart to move down would be for a team like the Packers, Steelers, or Pats, who can afford to draft BPA.

[HPF Bob]

Jones/Johnson figured out the trade down game before anyone else did but don't forget they also used those extra picks to trade back up when they really wanted someone.

The bottom line to me isn't whether you trade up or trade down. The smart teams understand their systems and understand the personnel they need to be great in those systems. They identify the players they want and they move up and down the draft board searching for what they want.

[popanot]

Originally Posted by HPF Bob

The smart teams understand their systems and understand the personnel they need to be great in those systems.

And thus the Texans dilemma...