Texans' Current Draft Position: 9-13

[HPF Bob]

The draft tiebreaker is strength of schedule which hurt the Texans in past years because the AFC South was so strong but it isn't this year. The AFC North is stronger. While this is no sure thing, I am ranking the divisions from weakest to strongest and expecting the SOS to be roughly equivalent.

1. NFC West
2. AFC West
3. AFC South
4. NFC Central
5. NFC East
6. AFC North
7. AFC East
8. NFC South

It actually kicks bad teams in good divisions in the teeth twice - first by forcing them to endure a tough division and secondly by penalizing their draft position by giving them the shaft on draft tiebreakers because of their strength of schedule. I don't agree with the whole SOS tiebreaker (it ought to be the same tiebreakers as determining the playoffs except in reverse) but it often wounds the Texans but not this year.

[painekiller]

I have us picking between 10 and 12 currently. Some depends on the Bears Vikings game tonight, and some depends on how that SOS plays out.

Currently we are not picking in the top 8.

[KJ3]

I bet we end up top 10, maybe 7 or 8. As long as we don't go doing stupid things like....winning games.....the time for that has passed anyway.

Hopefully they don't decide to go with a 16 year old DT again.

[popanot]

They need to bring back Kris Brown and float a few wide-right.

[painekiller]

Originally Posted by KJ3

I bet we end up top 10, maybe 7 or 8. As long as we don't go doing stupid things like....winning games.....the time for that has passed anyway.

Hopefully they don't decide to go with a 16 year old DT again.

We have the Broncos playing us this weekend and the Texans should win that one, rookie QB playing and all that, but the Jags should beat us to end the season.

So right now, sadly my 6-10 prediction is looking good.

[NBT]

Originally Posted by painekiller

So right now, sadly my 6-10 prediction is looking good.

Uhhmmmm........... 5-11. We lose both of the last two games.

[Nconroe]

Sounds Like Garrard is out as QB for Jags this next week, that could be bad for our draft position. Although I am ok in general with trying to win every game you can.

[Keith]

Originally Posted by KJ3

I bet we end up top 10, maybe 7 or 8. As long as we don't go doing stupid things like....winning games.....the time for that has passed anyway.

Hopefully they don't decide to go with a 16 year old DT again.

Wow, did you just go two years between posts here? Sooo, whatcha been up to?

[HPF Bob]

Assuming the Vikings lose in Phrigid Philly* on Tuesday, here's the updated projected draft order and their final opponent: (z - clinched #1 pick)

1. Carolina (2-13) z - @ ATL
2. Denver (4-11) vs SD
Cincinnati (4-11) @ BAL
Buffalo (4-11) @ NYJ
5. San Francisco (5-10) vs ARI
Arizona (5-10) @ SF
Detroit (5-10) vs MIN
Minnesota* (5-10) @ DET
Houston (5-10) vs JAX
Dallas (5-10) @ PHI
Cleveland (5-10) vs PIT
12. SEA, WSH, TEN (6-9)

Note that SF-ARI and DET-MIN play each other in Week 17 so one could assume that a loss to Jacksonville will put the Texans in the Top 10 in next spring's draft, probably around #8. I wouldn't count on DEN, CIN or BUF to pull off an upset to get their fifth win.

[WMH]

Kuharsky tweeted that we were in the 8th spot:

@espn_afcsouth: Projected draft order from ESPN Stats and Info has #Texans picking eighth right now.

Projected Order Of Top 11 Picks In 2011 NFL Draft
Team W-L Win Pct. Schedule Strength*
1. Panthers 2-13 .133 .576
2. Broncos 4-11 .267 .508
3. Bengals 4-11 .267 .580
4. Bills 4-11 .267 .582
5. Cardinals 5-10 .333 .456
6. 49ers 5-10 .333 .494
7. Cowboys 5-10 .333 .521
8. Texans 5-10 .333 .527
9. Lions 5-10 .333 .549
10. Browns 5-10 .333 .576
11. Vikings 5-9 .357 .542


http://espn.go.com/blog/afcsouth

[Fonz the Boss]

I'm going to be so upset if we beat the Jaguars.