The official 2010 season Texans prediction thread

[painekiller]

Originally Posted by Roy P

That's my guess. The DT hole, Cushing suspension, Tate injury, Secondary, and schedule are too much to overcome. I'm glad that we have a new kicker though, so that might get us an extra win.

Given my preseason prediction of 7-9, I am thinking we need to stay with Rick Smith, Kubiak and the main coaches. To me this team looks like the 1986 Oilers, full of young talent with no background in winning. That team grew to be a solid competitor who could not get past the 4 time in a row Super Bowl team of the Bills.

I like the foundation they have built and this team is close, they need to learn to win the close game.

As much as I disagree with the choice of types of players for each position, ie I like a OL and big DT over smaller and quicker, they have committed to these types and invested to much to throw them out right about the time they are getting close to their prime.

I do not see any other coach in the league that would make the same choices, so IMO we need to keep this group in place. Changing now would be as painful as dismantling the Capers team. We all know how painful that has been.

[Roy P]

Originally Posted by painekiller

I like a OL and big DT over smaller and quicker, they have committed to these types and invested to much to throw them out right about the time they are getting close to their prime.

I am hopeful that Okoye starts performing on the field soon. It would be a shame to finally write him off as a bust, only to see him become a force for some other team. The DT position has been discussed at great lengths in terms of the amount of time it takes to become proficient and at what age a DT is in their prime.

Just read a Sporting News article talking about the top NFL Coaches and Kubiak was #24. Outranked by Pete Carrol and Jack Del Rio. I'm not sure if I agree with that grade or not. I want to see how this defense pans out this season. How many missed tackles, runs of greater than 20 yards, pass plays greater than 40 yards, how many sacks by the DL and how many turnovers they can generate. I am not ready to jettison Kubiak, but I might be looking for a new Defensive Coordinator if they don't make any gains from last year.

[nunusguy]

Originally Posted by painekiller

Changing now would be as painful as dismantling the Capers team. We all know how painful that has been.

I'm really not a Kubiak fan either, but we now have so much invested in his systems (both offense & defense) in terms of our personnel thru several years of the Draft, that another transition now would once again take years to complete. The next coach might want to convert back to the 3-4, and it's unlikely that he'd be an advocate of the ZBS.
Unless this season is a total disastor (which it would be with say just 5 or 6 victories), I say give him some more time beyond this season.

[painekiller]

Originally Posted by nunusguy

I'm really not a Kubiak fan either, but we now have so much invested in his systems (both offense & defense) in terms of our personnel thru several years of the Draft, that another transition now would once again take years to complete. The next coach might want to convert back to the 3-4, and it's unlikely that he'd be an advocate of the ZBS.
Unless this season is a total disastor (which it would be with say just 5 or 6 victories), I say give him some more time beyond this season.

Not wanting to start a new thread for this, your mention of the ZBS gives me a place to put it here. Alex Gibbs quit the Seahawks today and was replaced by one of Carrolls past USC OL coaches. Is this the sign that Carroll figured out that Gibbs stuff is outdated and past it's usefullness?

That asked, Dennison seems to have a much more expanded running game.

Also i want to add, there is two types of ZBS systems out there. Gibbs' way with light quick guys, utilizing cut blocks to get the backside guys on the ground. They are more a track team, and they would wear out the defense in the thin air of Denver, by running them sideline to sideline all day.

There is also what teams like Green Bay, Dallas, and the Eagles to name a few use. It is more a power zone scheme. It is what the Cowboys ran when they won the Super Bowl in the 90s.

[ArlingtonTexan]

10-6 playoff, out in the first round