Draw A Line [AFC Playoff Seed Musings]

[barrett]

Originally Posted by cadams

actually, worst case scenario is that some terrible illness infects every player on the team and the texans have to forefit the rest of their games and forego the playoffs. now, all kidding aside. i don't think your scenario is necessarily completely unrealistic, but using the premise that new england and balt will win all the games where they are the team with the better record, and then assuming that houston will lose at least two games where they have the better record seems a bit of a pesimistic point of view.

There you have it. A perfect explanation for why everything will break against us.

Of course you could spin it all the opposite way if you felt like it. Baltimore and NE didn't lose in November but made up no ground...

How about a simple question. What kind of odds would you need to place money on both those teams going undefeated the rest of the way?

[barrett]

I meant to quote Bob there.

[Arky]

I know one thing: MNF matchup of Texans vs. Pats two games from now is already being discussed/anticipated as the NFL Game of the Year in one of the (national) sports betting forums I peruse. Would not surprise me if the Pats are a small favorite in this one.... I'm just hoping the Texans will be healthy enough to acquit themselves well..... But right now, a W at Tennessee is just as important...

[cadams]

on the pats, i wouldn't count out miami from steeling a win from them in one of their two remaining games either.

[chuck]

Let's face it, we're going to find out which are the truly elite teams down this stretch. Each of the four teams we're discussing will have ample opportunity to make its case.

[WMH]

Scratch Bmore from the list. Its now a 3 horse race.

Thank you Charlie Batch?
Wow......

[Arky]

Originally Posted by WMH

Scratch Bmore from the list. Its now a 3 horse race.

Thank you Charlie Batch?
Wow......

Yep. It now looks like this:

Houston 11-1
New England 9-3
Baltimore 9-3
Denver 9-3
Indianapolis 8-4
Cincinnati 7-5
Pittsburgh 7-5

We got a 2 game lead on everyone else. Cincy and Pittsburgh - only one of those two advances. We've beaten 2 of 3 of our closest competitors and face the third (New England) on Monday night. Should be a real rip snorter....