Rick Gosselin's first NFL mock draft

[HPF Bob]

Originally Posted by dalemurphy

To assume Ayers will likely be a failure simply by judging Moss' short career in the NFL seems like a heck of a jump.

I didn't say he would fail. I said I wouldn't spend a top 15 pick on him. My draft philosophy is that, the higher the draft choice, the less willing I am to gamble. I look for red flags and the more that come up, the more inclined I am to drop them down a round and not gamble on them until they become a "bargain". Yes, that means passing up on a Warren Sapp but it also means I'm far less likely to be stung by an Adam "Pacman" Jones.

I also prefer a player who has had 2-3 good seasons in college. A guy like A.J. Hawk or James Laurinitis has a track record to study and even if they might have less physical gifts than some other LB prospects, at least you can be pretty certain what you are getting.