FA's Texans are "interested" in... [RB Miller, OL Allen, C Bergstrom Signed]

[popanot]

With FA about to heat up, I figured I'd start a thread on FA's other than the ones on our roster that the Texans are rumored to be interested in:

Evan Silva ‏@evansilva · 23m23 minutes ago
#Texans have "strong interest" in Lamar Miller per @Rapsheet. Miller dropped 236 total yards & 2 TDs on HOU in Week 7 last year.

Evan Silva ‏@evansilva · 11m11 minutes ago
Schefter said on SportsCenter he expects Brock Osweiler's decision to come down to #Broncos & #Texans. "A battle between those two teams."

Aaron Wilson ‏@AaronWilson_NFL · 1h1 hour ago
Speedy WR Travis Benjamin piques Texans, other NFL teams' interest

Aaron Wilson ‏@AaronWilson_NFL · 1h1 hour ago
Interest growing in potential Texans RB target Chris Ivory

Have to say, I'd love to get Miller in that salary slot we had Foster in (or less) and Benjamin would be a nice addition to stretch the field and finally give us a homerun threat at KR/PR. I'm still torn on how hard we should go after Osweiler. I could see them signing him and still drafting Hack or some other QB later in the draft.

[popanot]

Ian Rapoport ‏@RapSheet · 10m10 minutes ago
The #Texans are making a strong push to secure RB Lamar Miller before the league year begins, source said. Working toward a deal.

Looks like this might happen. I'd be good with it. Young, fast, low mileage... Opens up other options with our high picks. Far better option, IMO, than what the Titans did trading for Murray and still paying the full guaranteed portion of his salary.

Patrick Daugherty ‏@RotoPat · 6m6 minutes ago

Lamar Miller is durable, versatile, consistently productive. Still only 25 next month. Dolphins will really regret letting him walk.

[barrett]

I think RB is too easy to acquire to pay serious FA dollars for it.

I also think Osweiller wasn't very good last year. If they were not winning those games with defense and he played at an identical level in losses, he'd be looking for backup jobs. If we pay him like a low end starter (comparable to Fitz and Hoyer) and still get a young guy, I'm good with it. But I don't buy him as an answer at all.

[Keith]

Originally Posted by barrett

I think RB is too easy to acquire to pay serious FA dollars for it.

Normally, I'd agree with this 100%. In fact, FA dollars this offseason would be best spent going after a tight end like Martellus Bennett.

But I think Miller is decent buy given his age, mileage, and versatility. He isn't a bell cow, so the team will need to consider a back late in the draft, too, but this lessens the URGENCY at the position in the draft given the departures of Foster and Grimes and the ineffectiveness of Blue (and the still unknown in Hunt).

As for Osweiler, the Texans could be thinking we may love a guy like Wentz or Goff but see no reasonable scenario in which to trade up for him without mortgaging every other position in the draft this year and next. Osweiler would give O'Brien the vet he desires that seems ok in the short yardage game.

I'm less thrilled about adding a WR again in FA, though I understand that Jaelen Strong had an uneven rookie season and has demonstrated maturity issues. Washington has terrible hands, and Shorts is meh. Mumph can return too, but all of these guys lack the package that is Benjamin.

The team's M.O. with UFAs has been to fill holes so the 'best player available' can be selected in the draft. So aside from criminally ignoring the TE position (apparently, considering we're still only in the legal tampering window), I'm intrigued by these early developments.

[popanot]

Originally Posted by Keith

Normally, I'd agree with this 100%. In fact, FA dollars this offseason would be best spent going after a tight end like Martellus Bennett.

A guy I'd like to see them sign and give a shot is Ladarius Green. He could possibly be had for a reasonable deal if he thinks he has a true shot at starter reps. If they can't sign Benjamin, which I don't think they will because he'll probably get big $ somewhere else, Green would be my next target.

[popanot]

Originally Posted by barrett

I think RB is too easy to acquire to pay serious FA dollars for it.

I agree, but only if you already have a decent bridge RB on your roster, which we don't. I think that if you have the money to spend (a big key in my thinking here) and can fill a major hole with a young, healthy, proven commodity, then you go for it. RB is such a big need right now that we'd likely burn a high pick on one and I think Miller is better than any of the RB prospects beyond Elliott, who we'd definitely have to burn a #1 on. And Elliott might not even be there when we pick. With a bunch of cap space and Miller being a good young player, I don't have a problem with it. I'd rather we go after him than someone like Ivory for slightly less money. I think we still draft a RB, regardless. Just not until RD 4 or 5. Offensively, I think the RBs have the best talent vs. value in FA this year. And Miller is the cream of the crop, IMO, when you factor in age, mileage and skill set. The other positions are going to get way overpaid, which is my fear with Brooks.

As for Osweiler, as I stated previously, I'm not huge fan or convinced yet that he's all that good (maybe he is). However, I can see where the Texans brass would feel he's equal to or better than any option they'll have in late RD1 or late RD2. I mean, if you're OB, would you rather roll with Osweiler who has some game experience and has groomed under Manning and coached by Elway and Kubiak, or roll with Lynch or Cook? It's probably safe to say Osweiler knows what it takes to prepare and likely has a good attitude and work ethic since Elway and Kubiak were and are willing to hand him the reigns. I think the Texans still draft a QB. It would allow them to get a Hack or Prescott much later in the draft to groom for the future.

EDIT: Let me just add, I don't think giving Osweiler a deal similar in $ to Bradford's is all that unreasonable in today's NFL for a starter. That is, as long as it's framed in a way we can get out of it in 2 or 3 years if need be and we draft with a plan. If Osweiler turns out to be great, then it's a great deal and no one cares if Hack or Prescott rides the pine forever. If he fails, you eat it and hope Hack or whoever turns out to be the answer (for the next HC, LOL).

[popanot]

Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet)
3/8/16, 9:03 PM
The #Jaguars are signing RB Chris Ivory to a deal that's believed to be well above $6M per year.

Can't say I like that price tag for a guy like Ivory. If we sign Miller, I hope it's at or under $6MM.

[nunusguy]

Originally Posted by popanot

Can't say I like that price tag for a guy like Ivory. If we sign Miller, I hope it's at or under $6MM.

I would think Ivory's money is the floor for Miller's deal.

[barrett]

Originally Posted by popanot

I agree, but only if you already have a decent bridge RB on your roster, which we don't. I think that if you have the money to spend (a big key in my thinking here) and can fill a major hole with a young, healthy, proven commodity, then you go for it. RB is such a big need right now that we'd likely burn a high pick on one and I think Miller is better than any of the RB prospects beyond Elliott, who we'd definitely have to burn a #1 on. And Elliott might not even be there when we pick. With a bunch of cap space and Miller being a good young player, I don't have a problem with it. I'd rather we go after him than someone like Ivory for slightly less money. I think we still draft a RB, regardless. Just not until RD 4 or 5. Offensively, I think the RBs have the best talent vs. value in FA this year. And Miller is the cream of the crop, IMO, when you factor in age, mileage and skill set. The other positions are going to get way overpaid, which is my fear with Brooks.

As for Osweiler, as I stated previously, I'm not huge fan or convinced yet that he's all that good (maybe he is). However, I can see where the Texans brass would feel he's equal to or better than any option they'll have in late RD1 or late RD2. I mean, if you're OB, would you rather roll with Osweiler who has some game experience and has groomed under Manning and coached by Elway and Kubiak, or roll with Lynch or Cook? It's probably safe to say Osweiler knows what it takes to prepare and likely has a good attitude and work ethic since Elway and Kubiak were and are willing to hand him the reigns. I think the Texans still draft a QB. It would allow them to get a Hack or Prescott much later in the draft to groom for the future.

EDIT: Let me just add, I don't think giving Osweiler a deal similar in $ to Bradford's is all that unreasonable in today's NFL for a starter. That is, as long as it's framed in a way we can get out of it in 2 or 3 years if need be and we draft with a plan. If Osweiler turns out to be great, then it's a great deal and no one cares if Hack or Prescott rides the pine forever. If he fails, you eat it and hope Hack or whoever turns out to be the answer (for the next HC, LOL).

If we give Osweiller Bradford kind of money and then need to get out of it in 2-3 years, O'Brien and Smith will be gone in 2-3 years. If you are betting on Osweiller to the degree you are giving him top half starting QB money, then you are betting your job on him. I think that'd be a very poor bet.

[popanot]

Originally Posted by barrett

If we give Osweiller Bradford kind of money and then need to get out of it in 2-3 years, O'Brien and Smith will be gone in 2-3 years. If you are betting on Osweiller to the degree you are giving him top half starting QB money, then you are betting your job on him. I think that'd be a very poor bet.

I think OB and Smith's job is dependent upon how the next QB performs regardless if it's Osweiler, Wentz, Goff, Cook or Joe Schmoe. They might be looking at it as if Osweiler gives them far better odds than a rookie for the reasons I stated above. IMO, the time table is still 2-3 years whether it's Osweiler or someone else.