Official Texans vs. Chiefs Game Thread, 10/8/2017

[Arky]

Found these trends posted in another forum:

Chiefs 13-0 ATS when visiting a non-divisional opponent with a lower winning percentage.
Chiefs 8-0 SUATS L8 on the Road.

Chiefs playing in Houston for the 4th time in just over 2 years, going 3-1, losing last season 19-12 in Week 2.
Texans 0-16 SU and 1-15 ATS as a dog vs a team that has averaged more than 392 yards of offense per game season to date.
Texans 0-12 SU in franchise history as a dog vs a non-divisional opponent when they are off a win in which they had at least two more
minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average.
Texans 0-12 SU vs a non-divisional opponent when they are off a win in which they rushed for 150-plus yards.

SU = straight up
ATS = against the spread

Not good. About the only positive thing to say here is that the data wasn't assembled in the Deshaun Watson "era".....

[Arky]

Video: Teddy Covers breaks down Houston vs. Kansas City.... TRT = 5:11

Teddy's stats guy calls it a preview of the AFC championship game.... I'd like to see that...

[HPF Bob]

I distinctly remember home wins over both the Colts (during the Manning era) and the Patriots where I doubt we were favorites. Not sure this tout has his facts together.

[Arky]

I remember those games but who ya talking about? Which tout, which trend?

Even so, I'd be very reluctant to bet the house on KC........

[barrett]

Those are meaningless trends. I bet most of those go back to before O'Brien was here. Football plays such few games that every trend is either small sample size from a data perspective, or it has to go so far back to get a decent sample size that the data is meaningless. Or both.

I guarantee if Houston loses it won't have anything to do with whether Houston ran for over 150 yards last week.

Basically the giant amount of money bet on football leads to artificial data mining and 'trends' so you can have something to offer as a prognosticator.

[Arky]

I see the manic-depressive Jags won today. The Titans are falling down the rabbit hole. Indy beat the 49ers in OT. Astros lost.

The good news is John McClain picked KC to win tonights game so there's a chance......

Kickoff in a few.....

[Arky]

Texans kick off and the Chiefs bring it back to their 19. A Chief injured on the play.

Hunt goes for 9.

Hunt gets 1 and the 1st down.

Hunt for 1.

Flat pass to Kelce gets 2. 3rd and 7 coming up.

Pass to Robinson goes for 16 and the 1st down.

Hunt caught for a loss of 2.

Short pass to Wilson gets 6. 3rd and 6 coming up. Merci hurt on the play.

Pass to Kelce good for the 1st down. 10 yards.

Pass to Kelce broken up by Hal, inc. 2nd and 10 coming up.

Hunt stopped in the backfield by McKinney for a loss of 4. 3rd and 14 coming up.

Pass to Conley good for the 1st down at the Texan 22.

Smith can't find a receiver and scrambles for 7.

Hunt loses 2. 3rd and 5 coming up.

Smith's pass is short of the receiver, inc. Watt injured on the play. Chiefs going for the FG.

Butker's 35-yarder is good.

Chiefs 3, Texans 0

6:53 left in the 1st qtr.