The upcoming Ravens game, 10/16/2011

[WMH]

Originally Posted by Arky

The spread has moved up to 8 to 8.5 and even 9 on one sportsbook (Pinnacle). Whoa.

Walterfootball likes the Ravens to cover at 7.5 and even puts 3 "units" on it. His logic is the recent Texan injuries and the trend that "favorites coming off a bye are 99-53 against the spread since 2002". He also came up with this nugget for Texan hopefuls: "Texans are 6-3 ATS as underdogs of 6+ since 2008".

Despite that, I'm thinking it's going to be a closer game..... Ravens to win, Texans to cover....

Outside of a solid preseason, ole Walt is having a pretty rough year. I still like his write ups, even when he's bashing us, but his picks have not exactly been stellar this year. The public is betting up the line due to Mario and AJ news, that is pretty evident.

The Ravens offense is nothing to fear, the Ravens defense is certainly something to respect. Wish we had AJ for this one, but it is what it is. I still think we can move the ball on anyone, its just a matter of whether or not they can make 7's and not 3's.

The Texans D has played solid for 19 of 20 quarters this year, and I don't see the loss of Mario as a deflating factor in Wade's scheme. While I think he was playing well, 2 of his sacks came against Dallas Clark, and the one against Campbell....I was actually surprised he was credited with that one. Flacco ain't playing that great this year, and I would assume Wade will key on Ray Rice. If we can contain him they way we did McFadden, we could have a ball game if we can force Flacco into throwing.