Team records ATS (against the spread):
Texans = 7-8-1
Bills = 9-6-1
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Walterfootball likes the bet-against 1st time QB in the playoffs angle. He provides:
Quote:
To sum it up:
Home favorites: 5-16 ATS, 8-13 SU
Home underdogs: 2-5 ATS, 2-5 SU
Road favorites: 1-2-1 ATS, 2-2 SU
Road underdogs: 6-9 ATS, 3-12 SU
Combined Record: 14-32-1 ATS, 15-32 SU
Fading first-time playoff quarterbacks allowed you to go 3-1 against the spread last year, with the only loss coming in the Chiefs-Colts divisional-round game. Call me crazy, but Allen is no Patrick Mahomes.
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He likes the Texans to win and cover.