I don't know why anyone anywhere along the Gulf would feel secure in the thought that a hurricane would not or could not impact them. Once a storm hits the Gulf it can go anywhere it wants.
The models accurately predicted what Harvey would do, by the way. Hurricanes can do all sorts of odd things once they hit land depending on where the fronts are ahead of where they're going.
This oncoming storm, Irma, is no joke. It is going to do serious damage in the Caribbean and, like Katrina, it could very well pass over Florida (or under it) and into the Gulf and then all bets are off.
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