Quote:
Originally Posted by Arky
Eh, it's Bill Barnwell. He was a Football Outsiders guy for a while. Note how many times he points to DVOA in the article like it's the be all, end all. I'm really not a fan of Football Outsiders and their whole DVOA/computed power rankings format. It's just stylized stats and they actually make money off of it. I'll take the raw numbers any day over snake oil...
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Barnwell is pretty good but he bases 100% of his team analysis on the idea that everything regresses to the mean. So everyone who was good last year is bound to fall back and everyone who was bad is bound to get better. I think it's why he's mostly useless on the preseason stuff. I think he's ok when he examines matchups or offense vs defense using DVOA (he's a one trick pony and the one trick is DVOA).