If the Texans go 9-7, the Colts or Titans would have to run the table at 10-6 to win the division.
If the Texans go 8-8, the Colts or Titans would have to go 9-7 to win the division.
If the Texans go 7-9, they have no business being in the playoffs but they still might go if the Colts or Titans can do no better.
The next division win gives the Texans the tiebreaker for the division. After that, all they have to do is tie for the division lead to be the #4 seed.
Of course, Jill Stein could sue for a recount.
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