[HPF Bob]

Per CBS Sports.com:

AFC South:
Indianapolis 9.5
Houston 8.5
Jacksonville 7.5
Tennessee 5.5

IMO, this boils down to whether Andrew Luck can stay healthy and how Brock Osweiler performs out of the gate. Jags keep adding pieces but they haven't meshed yet. Ditto for Tennessee.

AFC East:
New England 10.5
New York Jets: 8.0
Buffalo: 8.0
Miami 7.0

Meaning, even if Brady sits for four weeks, they still win the division without a fight. Yeesh.

AFC North:
Pittsburgh 10.5
Cincinnati 9.5
Baltimore 8.5
Cleveland 4.5

This depends on who cheap-shots who. As usual, the Steelers won't get caught but they may be so beat up by playoff time that they'll limp their way out like last year.

AFC West:
Kansas City 9.5
Denver 9.0
Oakland 8.0
San Diego 7.0

If you think defense wins championships, the Broncos will test your fealty to that concept. The Chiefs and Raiders are pretty stout on D also. Should be a dogfight.

Incidentally, if this assessment is totally spot on then the Broncos-Texans match-up will be for the final wild card spot.