[barrett]

Projecting guys to the NFL is a roll of the dice.

Aside from projecting talent, NFL success is hugely influenced by team, coaching, coaching stability, surrounding talent, etc... If Peyton Manning doesn't run the same offense with the same OC his first 10+ years he's probably still great, but probably not Peyton Manning great. And there are probably QBs who were ruined by Houston/JAX/CLE that could have succeeded if given the perfect situation.

Tebow completed 68% of his passes his senior year in college, accuracy wasn't the main issue. The total inability to operate an NFL offense was (being under center, slow release, terrible mechanics, only read half the field in college and was bad at reading NFL defenses). But Tebow still showed flashes of effectiveness when they ran a gimmick college spread offense for him in Denver. When he played in a regular NFL system he was terrible. Same with Vince Young, he led a team to 12-4 when they were invested in him and built an offense around what he did well. He was a terrible backup when teams didn't.

Carolina has built an offense around deep shots and red zone efficiency. It is a brilliant example of coaches highlighting what a guy does well while minimizing what he does poorly.

Nobody can say for sure what kind of NFL talent Prescott has (except Roy), but the better question for the Texans is whether O'Brien is willing to build around an atypical QB and base an offense on what a guy does well instead of what O'Brien wants. I for one think O'Brien will go for the guy who best does what O'Brien values, not the guy who does the most good things.