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What Should Be Done with Dunta Robinson in the Offseason? [F-Tagged on 2/19!]
LZ on local radio station 1560 said in the last couple days that the Texans should not make an effort to resign D-Rob. He thinks he will demand top dollar in free-agency this offseason even if there's still some uncertainty about his full recover ? Instead LZ believes the Texans should let D-Rob
walk and concentrate on drafting Malcolm Jenkins if they have a high enough pick. |
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So there's bound to be one or more of those 31 other teams besides the Texans that's a contender and interested in D-Rob, notwithstanding some residual concerns about his injuries. Good corners are just too hard to come by, especially if it is also a player with such a high work-ethic & competitive intensity & solid team guy as D-Rob is. And if he goes elsewhere I certainly won't blame him a bit and I'll wish nothing but the best. |
mod note - split this into a new thread from the other one discussing Dunta's return as a starter vs. the Browns.
Letting Dunta go for nothing would be a freaking huge mistake. If the Texans are concerned that the market will be Nate Clements-like for him, then franchise him. That way the Texans make just a one-year investment to see if he is the Dunta of old, which I think he might be. Dunta is a team leader on the defense, as much or more so than Mario and DeMeco. For a young defense like this, letting him walk and getting a rookie, even a damn fine one, to replace him, would be a step backward. Hell, draft a CB in the first anyway to pair with Dunta. That's not the point. The point is guys like Dunta are not a dime a dozen. F-tag him if you can't find a middle ground negotiating, and let's talk again about this in another year. |
I agree with Keith 100%. I think Dunta would like to stay, but there has to be the committment to winning. He speaks well of Kubes and that is a huge plus. If Kubes brings in a Crennel, Johnson, Bates -- a coordinator with a proven record of success that will go a long way.
You absolutely franchise him for one year if you cannot come to an agreement. What you hope for, is that the offense can get stabilized and then you make changes to the defensive staff, scheme and players in the offseason. If the team starts winning in 2009, during the season when things are going good, you start negotiation the long term deal. Guys with the heart, passion and desire are hard to come by, and he is a building block on that unit. #23's heart and desire is evident by the way he came back from that horrific injury. |
I'm all for keeping him around. If he wants to go somewhere else and you have to franchise him, do it. We've never had that kind of problem before. I think the F-Tag is a smart move. He'll be well payed (even though the players all seem to hate it) and it gives us a year to see if he is truly recovered.
I'm not one who thinks Dunta is an elite corner, although he is very good. I'm sure his agent will want elite money though, so it could get interesting. |
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I agree with you 100% Keith. If they let him walk that would be the most boneheaded decision ever (even more that the Buchanon deal). Even if they decided it may be best to get rid of him, they MUST get something in return. You franchise him and then have the option to keep him or trade him for value. The only way you get rid of him would be for at least a 1st round pick in return, and I don't know that I would be happy with that either. |
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In a column discussin Reeves, McClain added this little bit about Dunta at the end:
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No quote to back it up, but at least it sounds like the Texans have Robinson in their long-term plans. |
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I would add Demeco as another priority. I think he has outplayed his rookie deal as well. Smart move to have locked up Eric early in the year and escalating some of the bonus to this years cap.
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This may gives us an idea of what Dunta may be seeking. Perhaps a little less, but I doubt by much in today's market.
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I dunno, how far back is D-Rob to his pre 2007 injury status and skills ? Is his maneuvrability, back-peddle skills, pure foot speed, etc. back or nearly back where it was ? |
It woud be pure dumb to let Dunta walk without even trying to get him to reup. And then drafting a rookie who hasn't done squat to replace him. Just don't do it! Conserve what we have and try to build on it for next year for goodness sake.
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I agree, do our best to re-up D-Rob, with new deal or franchise tag. He seems to be a great vocal, fiery, team leader.
I think he's recovering well, not yet his old self, but getting there. I think still keep getting Dline and LBs stronger should be draft priority, for today, DB's are still young and may develop pretty good, well, maybe draft a safety pretty high. |
There's no way McNair lets DRob walk. McNair's proven over the years, regretfully in some cases (*ahem* Carr, DDavis...), that he'll take care of the guys who he feels are good for the franchise. I will not be surprised to see them make a deal without having to use the F-Tag.
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Dunta has been coming into my restaurant semi-regularly since the summer, and i've had the privilege of talking with him a couple times. Nice guy, solid tipper. He loves this city, and he really likes his head coach. Richard Smith is a different matter entirely. I think, if we get ourselves even a decent D-coordinator, he sticks around. I've heard a lot of talk about the franchise tag, which i'm all for if we can't lock him up long-term. The guy brings fire, which is something this D absolutely needs, especially since mario and demeco are pretty soft-spoken guys to begin with.
I'm with most of you that don't think Dunta is an elite, as in top 5, corner in this league, but he is solid in coverage, and is one of the best in the league in run support among corners. Letting him walk with zero compensation would be a titanic blunder. F-tag him if we have to, for sure. |
He is a great zone coverage corner, a good man coverage corner. As much as they are paying corners these days he might be hard to keep, but he is definitely one of my favorite players. I love the way that guy lays the wood on 230 pounders.
He is also a leader and I think our team would take a big step back if we lost him. |
I usually despise bumping up an old thread, but it probably makes sense to revisit this conversation.
Steph did a Q&A with KC Joyner on her Chron blog, and talk of Dunta surfaced. Quote:
Anyhoo, my comment was that stats are awesome, but YPA alone (including in combo with other stats) fails to account for Dunta's intangibles. I'm sure Joyner realizes this, but he's been rough on Dunta in the past, too. Good read (thanks again, Steph) and interesting info nonetheless. |
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I agree that Dunta wasn't his old self when he returned and certainly wasn't a lockdown corner. In fact, he probably never was. At his best, he was an above average, but not elite, cover corner. However, he made up for any coverage deficiencies with his play in the running game, leadership, competitiveness, etc. It appears as though Joyner's metrics only involve coverage. If that is all he is considering in evaluating Dunta, he's sorely missing the whole picture.
While it's impossible to divvy up credit or blame, the Texans were 5-1 with him in the starting lineup and 3-7 without. While the franchise tag is steep, if they can't get a deal done, I think they need to use it. |
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While I won't make the direct connection that Robinson was responsible for the late season surge by the defense (improved play from the D-line and LBs, in addition a possible retreat of authority from Richard Smith seem every bit as if not more integral), it does seem a bit too coincidental to dismiss, too. I get that Dunta has not been a 'top 5' (or even a 'top 10') CB and that he is replaceable... but I am uneasy right now turning the secondary over to Bennett and Reeves and pinning hopes on Molden, who played little CB as a rookie plus maybe someone drafted in April. Maybe Bennett will return to form, maybe Molden will develop, maybe Reeves will turn around to look for the ball.... I dunno, that's a lot of maybes. And it's not like the defense can call upon some great safeties to overcome any deficiencies, either. So yeah, maybe Dunta isn't the best cover corner ever, but I'd prefer to have in on the roster in 2009... in addition to the possibility his play might improve, he might have a positive influence on guys like Bennett and Molden as a mentor, too. |
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I do feel that Bennett will play better next year, and having Dunta will continue to help him. I have hopes that Reeves will play better as well....He certainly played better in the 2nd half of the season than the 1st. We don't know what Molden brings to the table since he rarely saw the field. So, I am hoping the Texans are able to find D help in the draft, but not at the CB position. We are in dire need at the S position, a space eating tackle, and an edge rusher. We are able to fill more holes with Dunta than without him, and I havent seen anyone able to fill his leadership role. |
This defense has been the achillies heel of the franchise for the past 4+ years. We need all the good players we can get on that side of the ball, and without a doubt, DRob is a top quality player. Perhaps not he's amoung the top-5 in the league, but he's definitely the best we have and certainly good enough to justify paying him top-level money if that's what it takes. It would be asinine for this franchise to let him walk and not have him as a key part of building a top-notch defense. Going into the '09 season with Bennett, Reeves, Molden, Petey or -insert Draftee or FA here - without DRob would be a serious step backwards, IMO.
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Did we need Dunta to win against Detroit, Cincinnatti, and Cleveland? He just wasn't enough to keep the Raiders in check. My point is, a single player who is not a top 10 player at his position should not be paid like one. Would I like to keep him? Yeah, I like what he brings to the team. Would I pay him more than Reeves? Yeah, simply because we paid him too much, so it's only fair to overpay Dunta too. |
With all this talk about top 10 salaries and whether Dunta is worthy or not, I thought I'd post the USA Today's database of corner salaries for 2008 -
http://content.usatoday.com/sports/f...n.aspx?pos=139 |
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Solid point regarding any player or any position. |
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If they're nervous about health, they should franchise him, but I'd go straight ahead for the long term deal. There are few teams with good enough secondaries to let a corner as good and young as Dunta go and we're about as far away from that level as can be. I have no doubt that he'll bounce back next year just as I had little doubt he'd struggle this year. Maybe we can even get a slight discount if we sign him long-term now because of the "injury concerns."
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I agree we ought to try and sign Dunta to a long term deal. He's almost all the way back from injury and a great team leader and mentor for the young guys.
For Reeves, looks like cap number is around 3.5M/yr, still plenty, but not 7m, perhaps first year included a signing bonus. |
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I agree with you about D-Robs value in the locker-room, but his on-field skills ultimately is what it's all about and I thought his '08 comeback, while remarkable, was also inconsistant and inconclusive in answering the question about him fully recapturing his preinjury-2007 skill-set/athletic ability ? |
I don't know what it would take to get him signed to a longterm deal, but if they f-tag him, that is going to be extremely expensive, I am guessing something like 15 million, and if he is all the way back then his next contract will have to be huge, because he will probably be the best corner on the market (and would be this year as well). I say sign him now and maybe you can get a discount based on the "uncertainty".
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I'm all for negotiating a long-term deal with him because (1) I heart him, obviously, but (2) because I agree with you in that I think the Texans can get something of a bargain price on a player I think will prove to be much better than anything we saw in 2008. But there's risk, and even at a discount, Dunta is probably going to command guaranteed money in ohhhh the $15-17 million range? Tough to say. Chris Gamble is rumored to have received $20-23 million "guaranteed" in a 6-yr deal late last year. (I use quotes on the guaranteed since $10 million of that comes in the form of a roster bonus due to him next month.) I guess what I'm trying to say is that if he is signed to a multi-year contract, the Texans will be paying Dunta more - much more - cash-wise in 2009 than the $10 million or so as a F-tagged player. The long vs. short decision might just boil down to how much risk Rick Smith (and ultimately Bob McNair) are willing to take on Dunta for 2009. |
I would transition tag him. He would cost about $2 million less and it would give the team some protection while he tried to shop himself around the NFL. If he's asking for top dollar, he can find out for himself that he can't get it and will likely be priced down into something the team is willing to pay. If he signs with someone else, we still have an opportunity to match.
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